Are Exit Polls are turning out to become a total and complete farce?



 

Owing to the absence of a scientific methodology, exit polls turning out to be as reliable as a tarot card reader or the predictions of the meteorological department.

 

For the Bihar State elections, back in November 2015, almost every exit poll predicted a comfortable victory for the NDA. Every news channel had panels of ‘experts’ pompously pontificating over these polls. Nitish Kumar was blamed for partnering with the ‘jungle raj’ tainted Laloo Yadav. Nitish was condemned for being arrogant, and breaking away from the NDA. Nitish was slammed for cozying up to activists instead not focusing on development. PM Modi was lauded for his prodigious campaigning skills and Amit Shah was extolled for being the master strategist.

 

When the vote count began the early trends had the NDA leading. The ‘experts’ regurgitated their previous proclamations, they lambasted Nitish Kumar and Laloo while they lavished blandishments on the dynamic duo Modi and Shah. While the syllables emanated from their oral orifices the tide was slowly turning; the Nitish-Laloo alliance began with a slim lead, in time the lead grew till Nitish and Laloo had enough seats to form a government in the state. The experts stepped in again. They lauded Nitish’s strong record on development and Laloo’s connection with his people. They slammed Modi’s braggadocio performance and Shah’s overconfidence. They concluded that the people always wanted Modi as PM but Nitish as CM.

 

What occurred after the recent Exit Polls for the Maharashtra and Haryana State elections may not have been as disgraceful but there certainly were similarities, and the pompous pontificators of 2015 clearly have not learned their lesson.

 

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